Competitive Mobility Project

Germany

Dynamo Dresden

2025/26: 11th in 2. Bundesliga

How high can Dynamo Dresden realistically go?

Based on finishing 11th in 2. Bundesliga in 2025/26

About 1 in 6

Of the 153 times a club finished in the bottom half of 2. Bundesliga between 2004/05 and 2020/21, 27 went up within five seasons.

27 of 153 (18%); likely range 9%–27%, 44 different clubs.

Reached the top flight within ten seasonsabout 3 in 10
33 of 108; range 16%–47%

Dynamo Dresden itself: none of the last 10 seasons in the Bundesliga.

How do we know?

We took every season since 2004/05 in which a club finished in the same part of the same league, and followed each club forward. The figure is the share that reached each goal. Ten-year goals use finishes from 2004/05 to 2015/16, five-year goals from 2004/05 to 2020/21, so every case has had the full time to play out; results run to the end of 2025/26.

It describes what happened to clubs in this position, not a forecast for one club. A club with much more money or history than is usual for its position has better chances than the figure suggests, which is why the club's own record is shown underneath.

The likely range is a 95% interval worked out by resampling clubs rather than seasons, because the same club often appears several times. It is wide where only a few clubs have been in a position, and two leagues whose ranges overlap may not really differ. Reserve teams such as Barcelona B or Real Madrid Castilla are left out of these counts, because they cannot be promoted into their first team's division.

Counts: went up within five seasons: 27 of 153; reached the top flight within ten seasons: 33 of 108.

The story so far

Dynamo Dresden has played 14 seasons in the divisions covered here since 1992/93: 3 in the Bundesliga and 11 in 2. Bundesliga. It returned to 2. Bundesliga in 2025/26 after 3 seasons outside the divisions covered. Its best finish was 13th in the Bundesliga, in 1993/94. It has been promoted 4 times and relegated 5 times.

Final position each seasonRinged dots are titles
2025/262021/222017/182013/142009/102005/062001/021997/981993/941stBundesliga2. Bundesliga
How to read this chart

Every club in the divisions covered is placed on one ladder each season: the champions are 1st, and the top club of the second division comes straight after the bottom club of the first. Shaded bands are the divisions. Hover over or tap a dot for the season.

14seasons since 1992/93
3seasons in the Bundesliga
0league titles
0top-four finishes
4promotions
5relegations

Against the money

Not available for Germany: wage bills are not published club by club in one place there, so this is shown for England and France only.

Clubs with a similar path

Clubs whose finishing positions over the last 15 seasons were closest to Dynamo Dresden's, with recent seasons counting more.

In Germany

Erzgebirge AueGermany · not in the divisions covered nowFC Ingolstadt 04Germany · not in the divisions covered nowArminia BielefeldGermany · 13th in 2. Bundesliga, 2025/26MSV DuisburgGermany · not in the divisions covered now

Elsewhere in Europe

PadovaItaly · 10th in Serie B, 2025/26LB ChâteaurouxFrance · not in the divisions covered nowBarnsleyEngland · 15th in League One, 2025/26

Compare Dynamo Dresden with another club

Sources