Competitive Mobility Project

Spain

Almería

2025/26: 3rd in the Segunda División

How high can Almería realistically go?

Based on finishing 3rd in the Segunda División in 2025/26

About 5 in 10

Of the 128 times a club finished in the top half of the Segunda División without going up between 2004/05 and 2020/21, 60 went up within five seasons.

60 of 128 (47%); likely range 34%–59%, 44 different clubs.

Reached the top flight within ten seasonsabout 6 in 10
50 of 88; range 41%–72%

Almería itself: 2 of the last 10 seasons in LaLiga.

How do we know?

We took every season since 2004/05 in which a club finished in the same part of the same league, and followed each club forward. The figure is the share that reached each goal. Ten-year goals use finishes from 2004/05 to 2015/16, five-year goals from 2004/05 to 2020/21, so every case has had the full time to play out; results run to the end of 2025/26.

It describes what happened to clubs in this position, not a forecast for one club. A club with much more money or history than is usual for its position has better chances than the figure suggests, which is why the club's own record is shown underneath.

The likely range is a 95% interval worked out by resampling clubs rather than seasons, because the same club often appears several times. It is wide where only a few clubs have been in a position, and two leagues whose ranges overlap may not really differ. Reserve teams such as Barcelona B or Real Madrid Castilla are left out of these counts, because they cannot be promoted into their first team's division.

Counts: went up within five seasons: 60 of 128; reached the top flight within ten seasons: 50 of 88.

The story so far

Almería has played 26 seasons in the divisions covered here since 1995/96: 8 in LaLiga and 18 in the Segunda División. It has been in the Segunda División since 2024/25 (2 seasons), after 2 seasons in LaLiga. Its best finish was 8th in LaLiga, in 2007/08. Its biggest climb took five seasons: from 18th in the Segunda División in 2002/03 to 8th in LaLiga in 2007/08. It has been promoted 5 times and relegated 4 times.

Final position each seasonRinged dots are titles
2025/262021/222017/182013/142009/102005/062001/021997/981993/941stLaLigaSegunda División
How to read this chart

Every club in the divisions covered is placed on one ladder each season: the champions are 1st, and the top club of the second division comes straight after the bottom club of the first. Shaded bands are the divisions. Hover over or tap a dot for the season.

26seasons since 1993/94
8seasons in LaLiga
0league titles
0top-four finishes
5promotions
4relegations

Against the money

Not available for Spain: wage bills are not published club by club in one place there, so this is shown for England and France only.

Clubs with a similar path

Clubs whose finishing positions over the last 15 seasons were closest to Almería's, with recent seasons counting more.

In Spain

ValladolidSpain · 17th in the Segunda División, 2025/26Las PalmasSpain · 5th in the Segunda División, 2025/26ElcheSpain · 15th in LaLiga, 2025/26GranadaSpain · 14th in the Segunda División, 2025/26

Elsewhere in Europe

SC PaderbornGermany · 3rd in 2. Bundesliga, 2025/26AuxerreFrance · 15th in Ligue 1, 2025/26Nottingham ForestEngland · 16th in the Premier League, 2025/26

Compare Almería with another club

Sources