Competitive Mobility Project

Italy

Frosinone

2025/26: 2nd in Serie B, promoted · 2026/27: Serie A

How high can Frosinone realistically go?

Based on finishing 2nd in Serie B in 2025/26 and going up

About 3 in 10

Of the 51 times a club was promoted from Serie B between 2004/05 and 2020/21, 14 stayed up for all of the next five seasons.

14 of 51 (27%); likely range 16%–42%, 33 different clubs.

Reached the top six within ten seasonsabout 1 in 5
7 of 36; range 8%–33%

Frosinone itself: 2 of the last 10 seasons in Serie A.

How do we know?

We took every season since 2004/05 in which a club finished in the same part of the same league, and followed each club forward. The figure is the share that reached each goal. Ten-year goals use finishes from 2004/05 to 2015/16, five-year goals from 2004/05 to 2020/21, so every case has had the full time to play out; results run to the end of 2025/26.

It describes what happened to clubs in this position, not a forecast for one club. A club with much more money or history than is usual for its position has better chances than the figure suggests, which is why the club's own record is shown underneath.

The likely range is a 95% interval worked out by resampling clubs rather than seasons, because the same club often appears several times. It is wide where only a few clubs have been in a position, and two leagues whose ranges overlap may not really differ. Reserve teams such as Barcelona B or Real Madrid Castilla are left out of these counts, because they cannot be promoted into their first team's division.

Counts: stayed up for all of the next five seasons: 14 of 51; reached the top six within ten seasons: 7 of 36.

The story so far

Frosinone has played 17 seasons in the divisions covered here since 2006/07: 3 in Serie A and 14 in Serie B. It has been in Serie B since 2024/25 (2 seasons), after 1 season in Serie A. It goes up to Serie A for 2026/27. Its best finish was 18th in Serie A, in 2023/24. Its biggest climb took five seasons: from 22nd in Serie B in 2010/11 to 19th in Serie A in 2015/16. It has been promoted 6 times and relegated 4 times.

Final position each seasonRinged dots are titles
2025/262021/222017/182013/142009/102005/062001/021997/981stSerie ASerie B
How to read this chart

Every club in the divisions covered is placed on one ladder each season: the champions are 1st, and the top club of the second division comes straight after the bottom club of the first. Shaded bands are the divisions. Hover over or tap a dot for the season.

17seasons since 1994/95
3seasons in Serie A
0league titles
0top-four finishes
6promotions
4relegations

Against the money

Not available for Italy: wage bills are not published club by club in one place there, so this is shown for England and France only.

Clubs with a similar path

Clubs whose finishing positions over the last 15 seasons were closest to Frosinone's, with recent seasons counting more.

In Italy

EmpoliItaly · 15th in Serie B, 2025/26SpeziaItaly · 19th in Serie B, 2025/26CremoneseItaly · 18th in Serie A, 2025/26US Salernitana 1919Italy · not in the divisions covered now

Elsewhere in Europe

Darmstadt 98Germany · 5th in 2. Bundesliga, 2025/26MiddlesbroughEngland · 5th in the Championship, 2025/26Le HavreFrance · 14th in Ligue 1, 2025/26

Compare Frosinone with another club

Sources