Competitive Mobility Project

Germany

RB Leipzig

2025/26: 3rd in the Bundesliga · 2026/27: Bundesliga

How high can RB Leipzig realistically go?

Based on finishing 3rd in the Bundesliga in 2025/26

About 1 in 5

Of the 36 times a club finished 2nd to 4th in the Bundesliga between 2004/05 and 2015/16, 7 won the league within ten seasons.

7 of 36 (19%); likely range 0%–44%, 11 different clubs.

Finished in the top four again the next seasonabout 5 in 10
33 of 63; range 33%–65%

RB Leipzig itself: 10 of the last 10 seasons in the Bundesliga; 8 top-four finishes.

How do we know?

We took every season since 2004/05 in which a club finished in the same part of the same league, and followed each club forward. The figure is the share that reached each goal. Ten-year goals use finishes from 2004/05 to 2015/16, five-year goals from 2004/05 to 2020/21, so every case has had the full time to play out; results run to the end of 2025/26.

It describes what happened to clubs in this position, not a forecast for one club. A club with much more money or history than is usual for its position has better chances than the figure suggests, which is why the club's own record is shown underneath.

The likely range is a 95% interval worked out by resampling clubs rather than seasons, because the same club often appears several times. It is wide where only a few clubs have been in a position, and two leagues whose ranges overlap may not really differ. Reserve teams such as Barcelona B or Real Madrid Castilla are left out of these counts, because they cannot be promoted into their first team's division.

Counts: won the league within ten seasons: 7 of 36; finished in the top four again the next season: 33 of 63.

The story so far

RB Leipzig has played 12 seasons in the divisions covered here since 2014/15: 10 in the Bundesliga and 2 in 2. Bundesliga. It has been in the Bundesliga since 2016/17 (10 seasons), after 2 seasons in 2. Bundesliga. Its best finish was 2nd in the Bundesliga, in 2016/17. Its biggest climb took five seasons: from 5th in 2. Bundesliga in 2014/15 to 3rd in the Bundesliga in 2019/20. It has been promoted twice and never relegated.

Final position each seasonRinged dots are titles
2025/262021/222017/182013/142009/102005/062001/021997/981993/941stBundesliga2. Bundesliga
How to read this chart

Every club in the divisions covered is placed on one ladder each season: the champions are 1st, and the top club of the second division comes straight after the bottom club of the first. Shaded bands are the divisions. Hover over or tap a dot for the season.

12seasons since 1992/93
10seasons in the Bundesliga
0league titles
8top-four finishes
2promotions
0relegations

Against the money

Not available for Germany: wage bills are not published club by club in one place there, so this is shown for England and France only.

Clubs with a similar path

Clubs whose finishing positions over the last 15 seasons were closest to RB Leipzig's, with recent seasons counting more.

In Germany

Borussia DortmundGermany · 2nd in the Bundesliga, 2025/26Eintracht FrankfurtGermany · 8th in the Bundesliga, 2025/26SC FreiburgGermany · 7th in the Bundesliga, 2025/26TSG HoffenheimGermany · 5th in the Bundesliga, 2025/26

Elsewhere in Europe

AtalantaItaly · 7th in Serie A, 2025/26AC MilanItaly · 5th in Serie A, 2025/26Real BetisSpain · 5th in LaLiga, 2025/26

Compare RB Leipzig with another club

Sources