Competitive Mobility Project

Germany

SV Elversberg

2025/26: 2nd in 2. Bundesliga, promoted · 2026/27: Bundesliga

How high can SV Elversberg realistically go?

Based on finishing 2nd in 2. Bundesliga in 2025/26 and going up

About 3 in 10

Of the 41 times a club was promoted from 2. Bundesliga between 2004/05 and 2020/21, 14 stayed up for all of the next five seasons.

14 of 41 (34%); likely range 19%–50%, 28 different clubs.

Reached the top six within ten seasonsabout 5 in 10
14 of 30; range 27%–66%

SV Elversberg itself: none of the last 10 seasons in the Bundesliga.

How do we know?

We took every season since 2004/05 in which a club finished in the same part of the same league, and followed each club forward. The figure is the share that reached each goal. Ten-year goals use finishes from 2004/05 to 2015/16, five-year goals from 2004/05 to 2020/21, so every case has had the full time to play out; results run to the end of 2025/26.

It describes what happened to clubs in this position, not a forecast for one club. A club with much more money or history than is usual for its position has better chances than the figure suggests, which is why the club's own record is shown underneath.

The likely range is a 95% interval worked out by resampling clubs rather than seasons, because the same club often appears several times. It is wide where only a few clubs have been in a position, and two leagues whose ranges overlap may not really differ. Reserve teams such as Barcelona B or Real Madrid Castilla are left out of these counts, because they cannot be promoted into their first team's division.

Counts: stayed up for all of the next five seasons: 14 of 41; reached the top six within ten seasons: 14 of 30.

The story so far

SV Elversberg has played 3 seasons in the divisions covered here since 2023/24: 3 in 2. Bundesliga. It has been in 2. Bundesliga since 2023/24 (3 seasons). It goes up to the Bundesliga for 2026/27. Its best finish was 2nd in 2. Bundesliga, in 2025/26. It has been promoted twice and never relegated.

Final position each seasonRinged dots are titles
2025/262021/222017/182013/142009/102005/062001/021997/981993/941stBundesliga2. Bundesliga
How to read this chart

Every club in the divisions covered is placed on one ladder each season: the champions are 1st, and the top club of the second division comes straight after the bottom club of the first. Shaded bands are the divisions. Hover over or tap a dot for the season.

3seasons since 1992/93
0seasons in the Bundesliga
0league titles
0top-four finishes
2promotions
0relegations

Against the money

Not available for Germany: wage bills are not published club by club in one place there, so this is shown for England and France only.

Sources